USA and its
Leadership which understand oil politics and money power are no
fools to have forayed into Iraq and their final outlet if the
trouble does not abate, may be to break Iraq into three pockets. The
media hype for a countdown for US troops’ pullout has already begun
and only time will tell when they leave
–– at the most in two years from now? The British Army Chief has
already stated publicly that British troops must pull out.
Thereafter, led by corporate USA, the world will start to rebuild
those areas of
that need rebuilding –– in return for oil.
will gain too in the rebuilding mostly as sub contractors.
USA's stock market
is booming but being the super power of this century and the resolve
to be a Leader seem to have been replaced by money grabbing. USA has
made money out of bombing Iraq out of shape, gained a lot of
military lessons and all for the loss of 2590 lives so far in three
years. USA's stock market and its investments in emerging markets
have been a rewarding experience and the world economy is driven by
doing well. The Western world pampers
with PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) a crooked term the Western
financial experts have coined and dub it as the world's No. 4
economy. As late Admiral Karmarkar, the first brown to command
whites in the Indian Navy used to tell the white officers and
sailors, 'I am with you and for you but don’t ever give me White
bull'. They understood and recently in Tokyo in a conference on
security when a Japanese economist tried to throw PPP at India and
say we must pay UN dues as the fifth largest
PPP economy in the world and with
PPP per capita just
equal to that of Japan, we argued that PPP was OK in India but
abroad one had to pay ¥200 i.e. Rs 100 for a cup of tea and that did
not help the Indians any? PPP was only for quality of life but we
Indians have got taken in. Let’s be realistic on Iraq and that hope
A review of recent history reveals that
Pakistan in 1971, Russia broke itself with USA’s help, Yugoslavia
broke thanks to Europe and USA, Czeckoslavia broke into two as did
Congo. The world has more states and if Mrs. Gandhi had
experienced more trouble from
Sri Lanka in the
1980s she would have broken Sri Lanka into two, which the Tamils
have been trying for all these years. Mrs. Gandhi had Operation
Buster ready and it leaked out.
There is already talk of federalism in
Iraq and can the
Sunnis and Shias share power? It is highly unlikely and Iran would
love the breakup and may be doing all it can to encourage it. Has
democracy worked in any Muslim nation so far except in some Islamic
form in Malaysia and Indonesia? All other Muslim states are
autocratic and Bush and his team know it. They support Saudi Arabia
and UAE and others for the arms they sell there. Hence we post the
latest debate in which Bush denies Iraq needs to be broken –– even
in India every politician first denies it and then it happens. If
the India–US nuclear deal goes through we will be able to join
in its strategy for Iraq and play realpolitik for India's rise.
Let’s forget non alignment and such grandiose ideas, as all along we
were aligned to the Soviet Union and we gained almost like a
mistress and now we are close to USA as a good girlfriend. We have
interoperability and navy relations have been called incestuous,
when we exercise in the Malabar series –– we have spirits on board
which USN does not! Our stock market also follows the Nasdaq and so
India has the best of USA and Russia and we must tango with both.
Deadly Month for
19 October 2006
U.S. troops were
slain in combat putting October on track to be the deadliest month
for U.S. forces since the siege of Fallujah nearly two years ago.
From The White House
The White House yesterday rejected partitioning
Iraq into three
sections based on ethnicity and religion and took issue with reports
that President Bush now views the 3-1/2-year-old Iraq war as similar
to the war in Vietnam.
With leaks from the Iraq Study Group (ISG), headed by former
Secretary of State James A. Baker III, swirling around Washington,
press secretary Tony Snow moved to distance Mr. Bush from a few
"We've thought about partition, for a series of reasons," but
Mr. Bush has categorically rejected the idea of breaking
Iraq into regions,
Mr. Snow said in reply to questions about an article in The
Under such a plan, the nation would be divided into Sunni,
Shi'ite and Kurdish regions, each enjoying near autonomy, with a
central government handling defense, foreign policy and oil
Still, the spokesman left some wiggle room.
"Ideas like partition had been studied. What you're talking
now about are tactical adjustments that may be made along the way.
And I'm not saying yes and I'm not saying no because I don't know.
What you end up doing, again, is you respond to the people on the
ground," he said.
While the ISG's report on recommendations is not expected
until after the Nov. 7 elections, leaks show that several proposals
have been discussed, including partitioning and a phased withdrawal
But Mr. Snow yesterday dismissed an article in The Washington
Times about a coming "course correction" on war strategy in
"That's a bunch of hooey. I mean, it seems to be a collection
of actually old hooey brought into a piece of new hooey. So, I mean,
you get –– I don't know where that came from, but it didn't come
from the White House," he said.
The article in fact quoted several administration members and
supporters describing the present situation in
unsatisfactory and then identified some alternative approaches,
listing their pros and cons.
Among them was the idea of partitioning
Iraq, which the
spokesman described as a "non-starter."
Another proposal that has been floated in advance of the
ISG's report is a phased withdrawal, pulling 5 percent of
U.S. troops out
every two months. Mr. Snow also rejected that notion.
Back to Top