Cash rich Iran has a good Intelligence system to
keep its own population in check and could well be using its rich
economy to dabble in Iraqi affairs. We assume the Iranian
Intelligence system and its huge set up also have a good 'Dirty
Tricks Department' (DTD) like any intelligence is wont to have. In
India we know about the ISI's dirty tricks department in Pakistan
which is aggressive, efficient, capable and at times the Leadership
may not be in the picture fully of what exactly its DTD does. This
is done to avoid the Leadership getting caught. Many writings world
over show this and the Iran Contra Affair was a good example, where
a Colonel took the rap.
Recently Admiral Mc Donnelly of the NSA took over
from Mr Negreponte as Director of National Intelligence (DNI). Iran
with its funds makes trouble for Sunnis and in the bargain for
Americans in Iraq and the coalition must be substantial. Now Bush
has decided to take on the Iranians in IRAQ, including a raid on the
Iranian consulate in the Kurd area and we speculate that these are
ploys to see that Iraq burns a little more, for a possible break up
of Iraq. A US carrier is now being positioned off Iran and the naval
scene and capability to launch raids on Iran is growing.
An article in NY Times explains the US
frustration and so no rule of International law applies to US
President Bush.
NY TIMES ON BUSH'S DECISION TO HIT IRANIANS
A series of raids agianst Iranians in Iraq was
authorized under an order that President Bush decided to issue
several months ago to undertake a broad military offensive against
Iranian operatives in the country, Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice said Friday.
“There has been a decision to go after these
networks,” Ms. Rice said in an interview with The New York Times in
her office on Friday afternoon, before leaving on a trip to the
Middle East.
Ms. Rice said Mr. Bush had acted “after a period
of time in which we saw increasing activity” among Iranians in Iraq,
“and increasing lethality in what they were producing.” She was
referring to what American military officials say is evidence that
many of the most sophisticated improvised explosive devices, or
I.E.D.’s, being used against American troops were made in Iran.
Ms. Rice was vague on the question of when Mr.
Bush issued the order, but said his decision grew out of questions
that the president and members of his National Security Council
raised in the fall.
The administration has long accused Iran of
meddling in Iraq, providing weapons and training to Shiite forces
with the idea of keeping the United States bogged down in the war.
Ms. Rice’s willingness to discuss the issue seemed to reflect a new
hostility to Iran that was first evident in Mr. Bush’s speech to the
nation on Wednesday night, in which he accused Tehran of providing
material support for attacks on American troops and vowed to
respond.
Until now, despite a series of raids in which
Iranians have been seized by American forces in Baghdad and other
cities in Iraq, administration officials have declined to say
whether Mr. Bush ordered such actions.
The White House decision to authorize the
aggressive steps against Iranians in Iraq appears to formalize the
American effort to contain Iran’s ambitions as a new front in the
Iraq war. Administration officials now describe Iran as the single
greatest threat the United States faces in the Middle East, though
some administration critics regard the talk about Iran as a
diversion, one intended to shift attention away from the spiraling
chaos in Iraq.
In adopting a more confrontational approach
toward Iran, Mr. Bush has decisively rejected recommendations of the
Iraq Study Group that he explore negotiations with Tehran as part of
a new strategy to help quell the sectarian violence in Iraq.
In the interview on Friday, Ms. Rice described
the military effort against Iranians in Iraq as a defensive “force
protection mission,” but said it was also motivated by concerns that
Iran was trying to further destabilize the country.
Mr. Bush’s public warning to Iran was accompanied
by the deployment of an additional aircraft carrier off Iran’s coast
and advanced Patriot antimissile defense systems in Persian Gulf
countries near Iran’s borders. Both the White House and the
secretary of defense, Robert M. Gates, insisted Friday that the
United States was not seeking to goad Iran into conflict, and that
it had no intention of taking the battle into Iranian territory. The
White House spokesman, Tony Snow, warned reporters away from “an
urban legend that’s going around” that Mr. Bush was “trying to
prepare the way for war” with Iran or Syria.
Mr. Gates said that the United States did not
intend to engage in hot pursuit of the operatives into Iran.
“We believe that we can interrupt these networks
that are providing support, through actions inside the territory of
Iraq, that there is no need to attack targets in Iran itself,” Mr.
Gates told the Senate Armed Services Committee. “I continue to
believe what I told you at the confirmation hearing,” he added,
referring to last month’s hearings on his nomination, “that any kind
of military action inside Iran itself would be a very last resort.”
Ms. Rice’s comments came just a day after the new
chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Senator Joseph
R. Biden Jr., Democrat of Delaware, issued a sharp warning to the
administration about the recent raids against Iranians in Iraq,
including one in Erbil early Thursday.
He said the vote to authorize the president to
order the use of force to topple Saddam Hussein was not a vehicle
for mounting attacks in Iran, even to pursue cells or networks
assisting insurgents or sectarian militias. “I just want the record
to show — and I would like to have a legal response from the State
Department if they think they have authority to pursue networks or
anything else across the border into Iran and Iraq — that will
generate a constitutional confrontation here in the Senate, I
predict to you,” Mr. Biden said.
In the view of American officials, Iran is
engaged in a policy of “managed chaos” in Iraq. Its presumed goal,
both policymakers and intelligence officials say, is to raise the
cost to the United States for its intervention in Iraq, in hopes of
teaching Washington a painful lesson about the perils of engaging in
regime change.
Toward this end, American officials charge, Iran
has provided components, including explosives and infrared
triggering devices, for sophisticated roadside bombs that are
designed to penetrate armor. They have also provided training for
several thousand Shiite militia fighters, mostly in Iran. Officials
say the training is carried out by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards
and the Ministry of Intelligence and Security.
In the interview on Friday, Ms. Rice said, “We
think they are providing help to the militias as well, and maybe
even the more violent element of these militias.”
In addition, American officials say the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard Quds Force is active in Iraq. A senior military
official said last week that one of the Iranians seized in Baghdad
late last month was the No. 3 Quds official. He said American forces
uncovered maps of neighborhoods in Baghdad in which Sunnis could be
evicted, and evidence of involvement in the war during the summer in
Lebanon.
That Iranian official was ordered released, by
Ms. Rice among others, after Iran claimed he had diplomatic status.
This week, American forces in Iraq conducted at
least two raids against suspected Iranian operatives, including the
raid in Erbil. The United States is currently detaining several
individuals with Iranian passports who were picked up in those
raids. The Iranians have said that they were in the process of
establishing a consulate, but American officials said that the Erbil
operation was a liaison office and that the workers there did not
have diplomatic passports.
A defense official said Friday that such raids
would continue. “We are going to be more aggressive,” he said,
referring to the suspected Iranian operatives. “We are going to look
for them and to try to do what we can to get them into custody.”