New
Delhi, 22 February 2005
AERO
INDIA 2005 was a world class air show and we noticed
the awe and surprise on the faces of foreign
delegations and media reps, who witnessed the
progress India had made in aviation and military
prowess and was adapting to foreign technology
–– especially the Navy and the IAF. In fact the
German firm collaborating with DRDO had provided the
structural trestle work from Germany that were
launched just a few months ago in that country, for
the LCA mock up and BrahMos stalls.
There
was a delegation from China led by Air Vice Marshal
Zhu Xinwen and the media asked questions from the
Secretary Defence Production whether India could
export defence equipment to China and the answer was
it will be looked into case by case. The three
Indian LCAs flew in formation, the ALH performed
antics in the air and two Indian built Intermediate
Jet Trainers flew in formation to thrill the crowds.
Unfortunately the F15 and PC3 Orion and C130J pilots
from USA remained on the tarmac as they came late to
Bangalore.
It
was evident that Indian defence aviation was set to
climb great heights in the coming decade, as the
Indian economy sees better days ahead.
The
TSUNAMI assistance that India gave to its neighbours
was a demonstration of capability and now the rescue
work by the Army and IAF in Kashmir, which has had
unprecedented snowfall was more evidence of the
ability of the Military. A new South Western Command
is coming up at Jaipur and the 16th Corps
at Nagrota may well split into two with a new Corps
possibly 9 or 17. These are heady days –– the
IAF is set for more AEW planes and 126 fighters and
the Navy for UAVs, ASW helicopters and MR aircraft.
The new Type 15A ships may have Brahmos vertical
launch if the BrahMos stall model is to be believed.
There are revolutionary movements all over India.
Hence
the debate whether India was chasing China and
likely to catch up somewhat in the coming decade is
an interesting one and the media is full of articles
on the subject and so we offers excerpts from the
latest piece by the New Scientist “India
special” issue and some
interesting statistics sent in to tell our viewers
another facet, besides the facts that emerged at
Aero India 2005.
India
is sixth in the world for C02 emissions, more due to
its industrial activity than the measurement in over
valued dollars. India is the world's fourth largest
economy and it has eight times the population of
Japan. When India reaches one eighth of Japan's per
capita income, it will overtake Japan to be the
third largest economy. That will happen sooner
rather than later. And the world certainly will not
have to wait till 2050 for that. Political
instability will hamper the speed but not as in the
past as the Business Houses of India are determined
to gallop ahead.
In
the past two years the Indian economy has grown by
about 7% per annum in real terms. The rupee has also
appreciated by about 10% against the dollar. So
India’s growth rate is 12% in dollar terms. Japan
made it to the cover page of TIME when it grew at 9%
in the 1960s.
The
dollar used to be worth Rs 5 and when the exchange
rate becomes more realistic than the current $ = Rs
43.50, the Indian economy will definitely show a
rapid rise. For the past few years, the Reserve Bank
has been buying up dollars in order to keep the
rupee down. This cannot go on forever. The Economic
Survey and the Indian budget next week will give a
good idea of trends in the Indian economy, despite
rumblings from the Left and some surprises in Bihar
as the Congress appears worried.
Excerpts
from "India Special: The Next Knowledge
Superpower" in New Scientist are interesting
but are already out of date. We are the fourth
largest economy, not the 11th. You will find India
within the top 5 in the production of food grains,
vegetables, fruits, milk, sugar, steel etc. When the
whopping $7b of the India Millennium Bonds mature
later this year more than half of it will flow into
Indian hands as it was probably theirs to start with
and it is hot money elsewhere.
We
are already the second largest English speaking
country. By 2010 we will be the largest and Indians
may well modify the language to become more user
friendly since Bangalore has 1 1/2 times the number
of techies that Silicon Valley has.
AERO
INDIA 2005 saw wealth generation and the highend
tech jobs that have had a multiplier effect.
Bangalore and other tech cities have a developed an
eco-system to cater for the needs of these techies.
There are Qualis vehicles to collect and drop female
workers on night shift and crèches for children.
There is a building boom. The Indian commercial
airliner fleet will double in the next two years
even if half the plans of old and new entrants
fructify. JET Airways IPO was over subscribed in 10
minutes. The New Scientist magazine concludes that India
is not yet a knowledge superpower. But it stands on
the threshold and the
following excerpts tell us what is interesting and
encouraging about us as there is no hype that would
be intolerable to scientists with clinical minds.
“For
the New Scientist reporters who have been in
India for this special report, many features of the
country stand out,” says the magazine. “With a
population of more than a billion, the country
presents some curious contrasts. It has the
world’s 11th largest economy, yet it is home to
more than a quarter of the world’s poorest people.
It is the sixth largest emitter of carbon dioxide,
yet hundreds of millions of its people have no
steady electricity supply. It has more than 250
universities which catered last year for more than
3.2 million science students, yet 39 per cent of
adult Indians cannot read or write.”
It
is against this sober background it informs its
discriminating readers, who include the
best-informed scientists in the West: “The first
sign that something was up came about eight years
back. Stories began to appear in the international
media suggesting that India was ‘stealing’ jobs
from wealthy nations — not industrial jobs, like
those that had migrated to South-East Asia, but the
white-collar jobs of well-educated people. Today, we
know that the trickle of jobs turned into a flood.
India is now the back office of many banks, a magnet
for labour-intensive, often tedious programming, and
the customer services voice of everything from
British Airways to Microsoft.”
It
points out: “In
reality, the changes in India have been more
profound than this suggests. Over
the past five years alone, more than 100 IT and
science-based firms have located R&D labs in
India. These are not drudge jobs: high-tech
companies are coming to India to find innovators
whose ideas will take the world by storm. Their
recruits are young graduates, straight from
India’s universities and elite technology
institutes, or expats who are streaming back because
they see India as the place to be — better than
Europe and the US. The
knowledge revolution has begun.”
According
to NewScientist: “There's a revolution
afoot in India. Unlike
any other developing nation, India is using
brainpower rather than cheap physical labour or
natural resources to leapfrog into the league of
technologically advanced nations.
Every high tech company, from Intel to Google, is coming
to India to find innovators. Leading
the charge is Infosys, the country's first billion-dollar
IT Company.”
“But
the revolution is not confined to IT. Crop
scientists are passionately pursuing
GM crops to help feed India's
poor. Some intrepid molecular biologists are
pioneering stem-cell
cures for blindness, while
others have beaten the odds to produce vaccines
for pennies.”
"And
the country is getting wired up as never before. Mobile
phone networks have nearly
blanketed the country and the Internet
is even reaching remote villages".
“Looking
skyward, India's unique space
programme has fought international
sanctions to emerge as a key player in India's
development. Meanwhile, India's nuclear industry is
boldly building cutting-edge fast-breeder
reactors.”
There
are those who ask: “But why is India, a country
that still has so many development problems on the
ground, aiming for the heavens? To Indian
scientists, the question is not only patronising of
their scientific aspirations, it betrays an
ignorance of the Indian space programme’s greater
purpose and successes against the odds.”
NewScientist
provides the answer: “India’s political leaders
say the country cannot afford not to have a space
programme. Indira Gandhi, who was India’s
longest-serving Prime Minister, believed it was not
only important for science, but also vital to
India’s development.”
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