New
Delhi, 05 November 2004
This is the time to do a snap
appreciation of the effects of the US Election with George W. Bush reelected as President.
Bush had just signed the US$420.6 billion National
Defense Authorization Act, which makes up 19.9
percent of the total fiscal 2005 federal budget and
3.6 percent of the gross domestic product. This is
interesting from the economic point of view and he
still feels he can ride the crest on Defence
Spending on the Cornelli Barnett theory so
worshipped by the Republican neo conservatives. In
India too defence spending has spurred many an
economic issue but now defence exports and less
corruption hold keys to greater robustness.
The authorization act, which Bush
signed on Oct. 28, is the second of two bills that
have to become law for the Defense Department to
operate, the department said in a statement. The
first is the Defense Appropriations Act, which Bush
signed into law in August and provides the money.
The authorization act gives the Pentagon the
approval to spend the money.
"The act authorizes funding for
defense of the United States and its interests
abroad, for military construction, and for national
security-related energy programs," a White
House statement said. The bill raises the
end-strength level of the Army and Marine Corps by
20,000 and 3,000, respectively. The Army
end-strength will be set at 502,000, and Marines,
178,000.
The bill funds a 3.5 percent
across-the-board pay raise for service members and
eliminates out-of-pocket expenses for housing by
increasing the basic allowance for housing. The bill
also makes permanent increases in hostile
fire/imminent danger pay to 225 dollars per month
and in family separation pay to 250 dollars per
month.
The bill allows the US base
realignment and closure process to move forward, and
creates a special inspector general for Iraq
reconstruction, under the joint authority of the
defense and statesecretaries, to succeed the
inspector general of the Coalition Provisional
Authority in Iraq.
The defense bill that Bush signed in
August provides nearly 78 billion dollars for
weapons purchases, a 3.5 percent pay increase for
troops, and an additional 25 billion dollars for US
operationsin Iraq and Afghanistan.
It also allocates 10 billion dollars
for continued work on a national missile defense
system, 100 million dollars for the Air Force to
modernize its fleet of midair refueling tankers, and
money for 39 more Army Black Hawk helicopters, a
Virginia-class attack submarine, and three
guided-missile destroyers.
So let us see the challenges ahead:
What are the chief problems
and challenges the President will have to face now?
-
Economic recovery and to deal with record deficits
-
Bring peace to Iraq and the world
-
Mend the country's political divisions
-
Balance the budget
-
Mend international relationships and alliances
-
Learn to make a complete sentence, with a subject,
noun and verb
It is great to be an American and
Americans felt great to be able to vote and enjoy
freedom of speech. It is great to enjoy the election
process. And it is great to be able to embrace one
another as Kerry has done after conceding defeat and
say, we are still Americans in spite of our
differences. This site congratulates George W. Bush
on his victory and we hope that his new Presidency
is good for the United States and the World. As they
rejoice in the process and the system, we Indians
hope he will do something for us too.
The polls were right. Nearly every
poll indicated that George Bush was between 1 and 2
points ahead, and that Ohio, Florida, Michigan,
Iowa, and a few other mid-western states would
determine the elections.
They were right on target.
After John Kerry gave a short and
emotional concession speech, George W. Bush gave his
victory speech, with a special nod to Texas,
"You have been with me the longest!"
Over 50,000,000 Americans voted against
George Bush, but 53,000,000 voted for him, giving
him, for the first time, a majority of support from
voting Americans.
Studies indicate that while Democrats were
successful in bringing young people and new voters
to the election process, this was not enough to
compete with the millions of evangelical Christians,
who overwhelmingly voted for Bush.
Many churches had made this election a holy
crusade, and churches created a new "2004"
mantra of criticizing the concept of separation of
church and state.
Thomas Jefferson surely turned over in his
grave, during the election campaign, while preachers
in pulpits all across America aggressively made
elections and politics their purview.
Democrats had the money, the
volunteers, and a good strategy.
But the Democratic Party could not compete
with the emotional impetus of "religious
zeal". America
has entered a new day of religion and politics, and
in the world.
However one feels about religion and
politics, religion has a tangible presence in this
world as we can see with Hindutva in India and the
zealous Jihad of Islam and this will continue to
impact political, social, and even business
throughout the world. We must call upon the best
intellects of the world, to understand, study and to
be able to deal with this new trend. It is critical
that the Global Generation do so with intelligence
and broadmindedness, instead of blind religious
zeal. Otherwise the world will find itself engulfed
in religious conflicts and wars like the world has
never seen. That is an important message that the
Bush election should send to all of us. We must
learn to view the world with greater depth and
insight to protect us from the dangers of religious
zealotry and terrorism which has engulfed us. The
leaders of the world must learn to deal with
religious zealots in more effective and intelligent
ways for the protection of all of us. Whether the
zealots are Christian, Jewish, Hindu, Islamic, or
Atheists –– all have agendas that must be fully
understood and dealt with intelligently. If George
W. Bush and his administration had better understood
the conflicts between Islam and Israel, we might not
have suffered the 9/11 fiasco.
For his part, George Bush by nature
has never truly been a religious man. He has never
been one to get involved in intellectual pursuits.
He knows how to speak the basic emotional language
of evangelicals, and how to "push the right
buttons" rhetorically. He effectively pushed
the buttons of "abortion" and "same
sex marriage" to work up the emotions of the
religious crowd. This election showed that he knows
how to manipulate religious leaders to gain their
support. He was very effective in repeating a few
coined phrases about prayer and so on. But his
personal nature has generally been very secular and
more about the ideological beliefs of Republican
dogma than about deep spiritual studies.
Documentaries point out his
statement years ago that "If we can get the
churches behind us, we can win any election."
Not long after that he had an almost
"miraculous born again" religious
conversion and started appearing on T.V. shows of
religious evangelists for interviews. The new
president also has a huge ego. During his acceptance
speech, it was impossible to ignore that he spoke
with a backdrop of a giant W hanging from the walls
of the Ronald Reagan building atrium, reminiscent of
the Caesars of Rome. But days of colonial type of
attitudes are over and he better realise it.
So what can the world expect
from the re-elected Bush
1. We can expect aggressive efforts
to promote his agenda especially on Iraq and
Afghanistan and to satisfy his ego that begs for
power –– he has power that few Presidents of the
United States have seen in generations. The
Republicans control both houses with majority. India
must seek all friendship with Bush and invite him
immediately. He is keen to come.
2. Expect social programs in America
to be further cut, as money gets tight. Indian
hospitals will gain in the long term.
3. Expect Medicare, Social Security,
and funding for education and schools to be slightly
compromised.
4. Expect military spending to
increase, taxes to increase, interest rates to
increase and military actions to increase. This is
seen from our analysis of the Defence bill above.
5. Expect the politics of personal
destruction to prevail and continue to destroy
political enemies.
6. Expect more conflicts and
hostilities with the international community. Tony
Blair may not be so happy about the re election but
he will try to ride the crest.
7. Expect a loss of civil rights and
civil liberties as the new "Homeland
Security" type laws like our POTA are devised
and passed.
8. Expect the mixing of church and
state, and expect the government to get involved in
funding (and controlling) more and more church
activities.
9. Expect the United States to
gradually be more isolated and hated by nations
around the world.
10. Expect other nations to create
alliances to try to control, or protect themselves
from American military or economic warfare.
11. Expect a recession, and possible
destabilization of the banking and financial
structure of the United States. This is one factor
that will help China immensely and in the next five
years if Taiwan gets close to China in a
reconciliation its technology and money will flow
more in to China. India must move ahead faster.
In this scenario India can gain if
it liberalises, as the economy is sound but the Left
does not allow the Congress led UPA Government to go
full steam ahead. These are therfore going to be
interesting times!
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