The worlds economic shifts are almost Teutonic.
Russia in one
year doubled its FFE reserves to $154b with oil exports,
overtaking India and even Pakistan is doing better with
increased Industrial output. The world is experiencing great
growth including USA which seems unconcerned about its
deficit.
India's
economy is also seeing a growth of over 8% and we expect this
time around the budget will give even greater impetus with
elections coming up in 5 states. India and USA are closer than
ever, with the Navy leading the military cooperation, and in
the East China is at loggerheads with Japan.
China resents the visit of Japanese leaders including
Junichiro Kuzomi to the war shrine in Tokyo as disrespect to
China but the real reason is that China is upset that USA
still supports Taiwan by basing forces in Japan and is doubly
upset that Japan has signed a long term agreement on basing US
troops and USS George Washington in Japan. So the debate who
will lead
Asia in 2025
is alive.
Thomas Friedman says China is moving like a car on a freeway
at 80 kmph, but there may be a big political bump coming up
we do not know when and how the Chinese car will survive it or
collapse. According to Friedman the Indian car moves at only
40 kmph but along a terrible bumpy road with pot holes and
culverts, but the Indians are negotiating the road well with
democracy so there is a good chance they will overtake China,
when it hits the bump and stalls, as its banking system is
immature for such a large economy .
Today
India is
gambling on the nuclear deal of 18 Jul with
USA
for technology and another in space which will benefit India
immensely. The Atomic Energy Chief Kakodkar made a statement
on Fast Breeder Reactors at Kalapakam to be excluded from IAEA
safeguards. Media reported PM Manmohan Singh was not happy
with it. This statement may be a deliberate ploy to gauge
USA's reaction via the media (Chankaya at work!), and
we credit the modus operandi. The nuclear deal will also help
Indian Navy to achieve its aim to have an underwater nuclear
deterrent faster.
Commercial Photos Show Chinese Nuke Buildup
By Bill Gertz
THE
WASHINGTON
TIMES
February 16,
2006
Commercial satellite photos made public recently provide a
new look at
China's
nuclear forces and bases images that include the first view
of a secret underwater submarine tunnel.
A Pentagon official said the photograph of the tunnel
entrance reveals for the first time a key element of
China's
hidden military buildup. Similar but more detailed
intelligence photos of the entrance are highly classified
within the
U.S.
government, the official said.
"The Chinese have a whole network of secret facilities that
the
U.S.
government understands but cannot make public," said the
official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. "This is
the first public revelation of China's secret buildup."
The photographs, taken from 2000 to 2004, show China's Xia-class
ballistic missile submarine docked at the Jianggezhuang base,
located on the Yellow Sea in Shandong province.
Nuclear warheads for the submarine's 12 JL-1 missiles are
thought to be stored inside an underwater tunnel that was
photographed about 450 meters to the northwest of the
submarine. The high-resolution satellite photo shows a
waterway leading to a ground-covered facility.
Other photographs show additional underground military
facilities, including the Feidong air base in
Anhui
province with a runway built into a nearby hill.
The photographs were obtained by the nonprofit groups Natural
Resources Defense Council (NRDC) and Federation of American
Scientists. The photos first appeared Friday in the winter
edition of the quarterly newsletter Imaging Notes.
The photographs are sharp enough to identify objects on the
ground about 3 feet in size. Such digital images were once the
exclusive domain of
U.S.
technical intelligence agencies, but in recent years,
commercial companies have deployed equally capable space-based
cameras.
Disclosure of the underground bases supports analyses of
Pentagon and intelligence officials who say
China is
engaged in a secret military buildup that threatens U.S.
interests, while stating publicly that its forces pose no
threat.
Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said during a trip to
China
in October that Beijing was sending "mixed signals" by
building up forces in secret and without explaining their
purpose.
Adm. Gary Roughead, commander of the Navy's Pacific Fleet,
said he did not consider
China "a
threat." But he also said in a speech Tuesday that China's
purpose behind its rapid military buildup is not fully known.
"That's a little unclear," he said, noting that "increased
transparency" is needed from China.
The photographs included several shots of Chinese H-6
strategic bombers and related aerial refueling tankers at
Dangyang airfield in
Hubei
province. Also, 70 nuclear-capable Qian-5 aircraft were
photographed parked at an airfield in Jianqiao, Zhejiang
province, on the East China Sea coast.
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